Frequent-Assembly-Judgment
0x5a55e74fd965efd256f5a9c0d0364768b7b25a54
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-155.85
Realised
$13.84
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
1404 shares @ 55.5¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$765.08
$-13.58
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
2120 shares @ 38.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$752.60
$-53.00
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
1060 shares @ 45.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$492.70
$15.89
- CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
965 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$429.42
$4.78
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
24 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$9.60
$0.12
- ATLANTA BRAVES
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
11 shares @ 56.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$6.11
$0.16
- COLORADO ROCKIES
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies
4 shares @ 43.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.42
$-0.09
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.30
$0.04
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 20.1¢·now 20.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.03
$0.03
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
283 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.42
$-124.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMiami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves$156.94Aug 4, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners$583.17Aug 4, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners$8.56Aug 4, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees$228.00Aug 4, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$138.00Aug 4, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees$0.61Aug 4, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$3.92Aug 4, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$3.92Aug 4, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$3.92Aug 4, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$1.57Aug 4, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$3.92Aug 4, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$3.08Aug 4, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$393.36Aug 4, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees$177.74Aug 4, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees$3.06Aug 4, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$0.79Aug 4, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees$0.61Aug 4, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$20.00Aug 4, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees$395.37Aug 4, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$7.86Aug 4, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $68.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 05:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 14:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.