0x5a5c20f75a75972696e0afa69a7187283209b50f
0x5a5c20f75a75972696e0afa69a7187283209b50f
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-105.53
Realised
$-38.45
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 12?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or higher on February 12?
1001 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or below on February 12?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 12?
339 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 15?
35 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on February 15?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?
35 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 15?
35 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 15?
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 15?
35 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 25 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?$10.00Feb 26, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)$10.00Feb 26, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)$10.00Feb 26, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-02-25?$10.00Feb 26, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)$10.00Feb 26, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 25?$10.00Feb 26, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)$10.00Feb 26, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 25?$10.00Feb 25, 23:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 20:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.