Zesty-Stable
0x5a5de4cf6ecb30db08bbe456b9be24538b2e725a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-456.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
203 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Tariff" during Colbert show on July 31?
143 shares @ 68.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-98.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?
131 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
114 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-66.67
- NO
Will Trump say "Brazil" this week?
110 shares @ 65.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Anime" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?
100 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- NO
Will anyone say "Grand Theft Auto" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?
84 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-63.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$0.00Aug 10, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$201.81Aug 1, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$98.00Aug 1, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Brazil" this week?$72.00Aug 1, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "M3" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?$155.03Aug 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?$216.78Aug 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "M3" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?$101.32Jul 31, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Tariff" during Colbert show on July 31?$98.00Jul 31, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?$180.00Jul 31, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?$21.00Jul 31, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?$0.00Jul 31, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?$229.30Jul 31, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?$171.02Jul 31, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?$116.82Jul 28, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?$116.82Jul 28, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?$200.05Jul 27, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?$114.00Jul 27, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?$314.05Jul 27, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?$181.54Jul 27, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$181.54Jul 27, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $112.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.