Gentle-Industrialization
0x5a70c6cb6d33a45f39f97cd6dfc074031ea17057
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$15.05
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
21420 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-52.11
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
5500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-11.49
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
4500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?
4057 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.55
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 21?
2762 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-25.11
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?
2737 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-41.06
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2?
2397 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-26.25
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 10-16?
2043 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 20?
1715 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-6.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?$4.00Apr 4, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?$394.70Apr 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?$110.63Apr 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$55.11Apr 4, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?$0.00Nov 25, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.64Nov 24, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.00Nov 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.00Nov 24, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$8.00Nov 24, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$17.66Nov 24, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$5.00Nov 24, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?$15.68Nov 24, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 18-24?$6.00Nov 24, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?$90.17Nov 10, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?$23.47Nov 10, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iceland win on 2025-11-13?$23.47Nov 10, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iceland win on 2025-11-13?$25.82Nov 10, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 10?$5.00Nov 10, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 10?$5.00Nov 10, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 10?$5.00Nov 10, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 20:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.