Shoddy-Vein-Mole
0x5a800f4a2c31abe87d59ca86519b6d8f1f0ff1e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.45
Realised
$-0.35
Win rate
0%
82 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?
767 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1?
667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or higher on May 23?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?
182 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 24?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 20?
74 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.44
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 1?$0.01Jul 1, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1?$0.76Jul 1, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1?$0.14Jul 1, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1?$0.46Jul 1, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?$0.60Jul 1, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?$0.18Jul 1, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?$0.12Jul 1, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?$0.09Jul 1, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?$0.06Jul 1, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?$0.04Jul 1, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?$0.40Jun 30, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?$0.40Jun 30, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 82 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 20/100.
82 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 82 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.