Reflecting-Doorpost
0x5a81348a1746c8f9d08735319a6e6330e194efeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-124.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 14?
210 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
146 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 31?
111 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of April 6 2026?
103 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?
78 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 11?
61 shares @ 97.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-59.55
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.35 on March 25?
57 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 9?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 8?
46 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?
44 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 8?$74.52Jul 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 8?$72.43Jul 8, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$57.57Jun 1, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$55.84May 30, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?$1.41May 13, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$67.89May 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$64.97May 11, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 27?$62.79Apr 27, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 27?$60.09Apr 26, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?$2.04Apr 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?$1.94Apr 16, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 14?$1.58Apr 14, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 22?$0.00Apr 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of April 6 2026?$1.72Apr 10, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 21?$0.00Mar 31, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 31?$2.44Mar 31, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?$2.62Mar 30, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMVU of Lynchburg Dragons vs. Morgan State Bears$0.00Mar 30, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 27?$58.63Mar 28, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 27?$0.17Mar 27, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $18.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.