Green-Ereader-Lambkin
0x5a8951687d8f8fa5bc1d856017dd88253abab1c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$404.19
Total PnL
$-525.94
Realised
$285.27
Win rate
3%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
266 shares @ 71.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.72
$-5.28
- NO
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
253 shares @ 48.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.70
$-10.10
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
383 shares @ 11.8¢·now 23.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$88.39
$43.03
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$13.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
82 shares @ 12.1¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.14
$-7.86
- YES
Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
31 shares @ 22.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.03
$-4.83
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
106 shares @ 40.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.22
$-41.18
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33117 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.33
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?$71.11Aug 11, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?$31.02Aug 11, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?$102.31Aug 10, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?$14.87Aug 10, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.69Jul 31, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$40.25Jul 29, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$43.42Jul 29, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$20.72Jul 29, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.35Jul 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$101.14Jul 15, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?$94.30Jul 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12Jul 11, 06:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.48Jul 6, 11:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Egypt?$1.03Jul 3, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$91.03Jul 3, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
74 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $37.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.