Hard-To-Find-Jump
0x5a926865f0f2109dbe906988e20e6d88367652f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$403.83
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
4634 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$347.54
$69.51
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$299.60
$35.60
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2442 shares @ 10.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$277.20
$21.20
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1900 shares @ 10.6¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$183.35
$-18.05
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$166.67
$-33.32
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5769 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$141.35
$-8.65
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8270 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$136.45
$-35.48
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
2747 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$86.54
$-23.45
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.83
$-23.17
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
248 shares @ 24.2¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$65.72
$5.72
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$206.80Jun 11, 19:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.00Jun 10, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.33Jun 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$108.84Jun 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$414.92Jun 10, 18:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$154.03Jun 9, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-2.5)$100.33Jun 8, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-2.5)$65.08Jun 8, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$130.65Jun 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-2.5)$74.59Jun 8, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$154.38Jun 8, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$205.91Jun 8, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$151.35Jun 8, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$101.59Jun 8, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $94.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.