Needy-Tilt
0x5aa5ec101fd350c0b480aadb0d8ec330350eb47d
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-392.06
Realised
$36.63
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
4489 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-119.99
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1034 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
260 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
140 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
113 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
62 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
52 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$19.40Jul 14, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$20.82Jul 14, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$20.51Jul 9, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$26.58Jul 3, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$10.25Jul 3, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$54.09Jul 3, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$20.48Jul 3, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance$47.32Jul 3, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$71.43Jul 3, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.24Jul 2, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance$10.22Jul 2, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$30.42Jul 2, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$30.79Jul 2, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance$30.66Jul 2, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance$45.16Jul 1, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$63.31Jul 1, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance$30.33Jun 30, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$30.51Jun 30, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$145.44Jun 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$50.79Jun 29, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $41.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.