Surprised-Confectionery
0x5aa62833d718184f0518d381baf85ce37d3978e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$151.45
Total PnL
$-314.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$116.28
$16.28
- YES
Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
35 shares @ 42.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$35.17
$20.17
- YES
Tether insolvent in 2025?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
152 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
138 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will 3 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?
110 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-57.50
- NO
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the Steelers draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Steelers draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?$10.25Apr 25, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?$53.00Apr 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?$70.00Apr 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$19.89Apr 16, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$0.11Apr 16, 01:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.97Apr 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?$4.50Apr 15, 02:37 UTC
- REWARD$2.21Apr 15, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85k in April?$0.00Apr 13, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?$0.00Apr 13, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steelers draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?$7.75Apr 4, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?$0.00Apr 1, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?$0.00Apr 1, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85k in April?$13.50Apr 1, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85k in April?$47.04Apr 1, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85k in April?$10.00Apr 1, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout?$0.00Apr 1, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100k in April?$100.00Apr 1, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?$10.00Apr 1, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?$10.00Apr 1, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $30.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 01:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 02:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".