Shameful-Meter
0x5aa809027d413950485d16f27bc23e26197f0b24
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.31
Total PnL
$-272.21
Realised
$-81.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?
1111 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on June 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Age of Attraction: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
280 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
251 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
237 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
196 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-21?
120 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on June 22?$1.07Jun 22, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$1.03Jun 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$5.05Apr 6, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Age of Attraction: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$10.00Mar 26, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.00Mar 26, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.00Mar 26, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Dinosaurs: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.00Mar 26, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Friend, A Murderer: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.00Mar 26, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Age of Attraction: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$7.00Mar 26, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.00Mar 26, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?$10.00Mar 26, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$1.00Mar 26, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 6?$6.00Mar 26, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?$1.00Mar 26, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$40.30Mar 26, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$26.81Mar 26, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?$10.00Mar 26, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?$36.81Mar 26, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?$32.92Mar 26, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?$31.92Mar 26, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $10.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 23:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 13:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.