Disastrous-Belly
0x5aaa4dab6dfbaab78b1bcab005a2b1dc4d425f04
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$9.76
Total PnL
$-14.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.68
$-0.02
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in July?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.39
$-0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.30
$-0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.20
$-0.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in July?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in July?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.10
$-0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 25?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on October 31?
389 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
324 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Dave’s Hot Chicken be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
297 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in July?$1.10Jul 22, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?$1.30Jul 21, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in July?$2.40Jul 21, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$2.70Jul 17, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in July?$1.10Jul 17, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?$1.20Jul 16, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?$4.85Jul 1, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$2.91Jul 1, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$27.85Jul 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?$4.51Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$13.13Jun 30, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$12.93Jun 30, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$16.90Jun 29, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?$4.50Jun 28, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?$4.80Jun 28, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.40Jun 28, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.50Jun 28, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$13.10Jun 28, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$10.80Jun 28, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62.60Jun 28, 03:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $12.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 02:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.