Favorable-Macaroon
0x5aad6df1c0c544ec30b351922ef9871e1dcadc28
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$108.93
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$134.94
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 11.9¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.70
$11.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 13?
60 shares @ 35.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$22.20
$1.20
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 15.9¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.35
$0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 13?
103 shares @ 15.2¢·now 9.4¢·exp May 13, 2026$9.76
$-5.95
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.85
$0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 13?
50 shares @ 12.2¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$7.50
$1.40
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.25
$-1.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 13?
120 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 13, 2026$2.04
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 13?
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.20
$-4.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 13?$0.694h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 13?$0.185h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?$0.386h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?$0.316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?$2.706h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?$0.807h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 13?$0.227h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 13?$0.747h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 13?$2.807h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 13?$0.298h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 13?$21.688h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 13?$0.298h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 13?$2.118h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 13?$1.508h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 13?$0.428h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 13?$0.758h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 13?$0.758h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?$6.408h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 13?$8.348h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
