Understated-Slide
0x5abb47ab880c18a7bd505ed5e5999c91dfe75a2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
179
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$-66.48
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 179- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
1031 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-22.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
446 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
429 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-21.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
225 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.12
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
220 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-114.30
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
216 shares @ 64.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-140.13
- YES
Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 4.5
214 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-98.38
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
200 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-105.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$10.32Jun 23, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$10.36Jun 23, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$7.76Jun 23, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$10.38Jun 23, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.10Jun 23, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.16Jun 23, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.28Jun 23, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$25.93Jun 23, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$10.29Jun 23, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.16Jun 23, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.02Jun 23, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$24.33Jun 23, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$10.36Jun 23, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$11.93Jun 23, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.03Jun 23, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.16Jun 23, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.