Likely-Picnic
0x5abd29102b67b8c561a077ce2fbd330f193378fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$111.13
Total PnL
$-606.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
182 shares @ 27.5¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.73
$-4.27
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
243 shares @ 10.3¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.56
$9.56
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
118 shares @ 21.2¢·now 25.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$30.37
$5.37
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.13
$-0.88
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.13
$-0.88
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?
393 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fantastic" during events with Rutte?
323 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".