Cheerful-Wiretap
0x5ac85fe4ca19df3e60599ff1a08dbbd439e59733
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
100 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-54.80
- YES
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?
40 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.64
- NO
Will anyone say "Defund" or "Defunding" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Optimus" 3+ times during earnings call?
31 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- BREWERS
Brewers vs. Dodgers
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will anyone say "Rikers" or "Manhattan" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during announcement today?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.76
- NO
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$4.20Oct 23, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$6.20Oct 23, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$7.90Oct 23, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$12.14Oct 23, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Rent Control" or "Rent Controlled" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$1.27Oct 23, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "President" or "Trump" 25+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$3.13Oct 23, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "National Guard" 5+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$13.42Oct 23, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeff Yan say "USDH" during TBPN appearance on October 22?$20.50Oct 23, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "National Guard" 5+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$0.96Oct 22, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) say "Optimus" 3+ times during earnings call?$1.20Oct 22, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Defund" or "Defunding" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$1.00Oct 22, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) say "Optimus" 3+ times during earnings call?$1.00Oct 22, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Defund" or "Defunding" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$1.00Oct 22, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Yan say "USDH" during TBPN appearance on October 22?$1.00Oct 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Yan say "USDH" during TBPN appearance on October 22?$1.00Oct 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Yan say "USDH" during TBPN appearance on October 22?$1.00Oct 22, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMBlue Jays vs. Mariners$0.00Oct 22, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMRams vs. Jaguars$0.00Oct 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Rent Control" or "Rent Controlled" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$1.00Oct 22, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$1.00Oct 22, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 23, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.