Courageous-Validate
0x5ac8b0871c6910044db37258aa655d62385aac48
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$2.55
Total PnL
$-367.40
Realised
$-5.53
Win rate
29%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 22?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.43
$0.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 22?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 50°F or higher on February 19?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?
516 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-72.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on February 20?
343 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 68°F or higher on February 18?
333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on February 21?
122 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on February 28?
83 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C or higher on February 28?
70 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on February 28?
70 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 22?$1.13Jul 22, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 22?$1.12Jul 22, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 21?$1.68Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 21?$1.13Jul 21, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 20?$1.83Jul 21, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 20?$1.12Jul 20, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 19?$1.13Jul 19, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?$1.45Jul 17, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?$1.69Jul 17, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?$1.12Jul 15, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?$1.11Jul 15, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?$1.69Jul 7, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?$1.12Jul 5, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?$1.12Jul 3, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?$0.11Jul 2, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?$0.11Jul 2, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?$0.46Jul 2, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?$1.15Jul 1, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?$1.14Jun 22, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on June 19?$1.37Jun 19, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
42 closed markets, 29% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 17:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.