Large-Gherkin
0x5acdbbe5990b52deabb1f3d2f4e8a4e14d7008d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$678.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
2219 shares @ 90.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.2K
$209.17
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
874 shares @ 31.5¢·now 87.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$768.09
$492.27
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
794 shares @ 63.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$511.90
$11.91
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
751 shares @ 66.6¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$465.43
$-34.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.3KJul 21, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?$506.68Jul 20, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$1.5KJul 18, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?$2.0KJul 14, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$908.14Jul 12, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$125.82Jul 11, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$507.40Jul 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$1000.00Jul 11, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$150.00Jul 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$506.75Jul 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.0KJul 3, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$0.00Jul 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$111.75Jul 1, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$103.68Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.9KJul 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$530.00Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$76.66Jun 26, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.8KJun 26, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$42.26Jun 20, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$55.60Jun 20, 23:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.