Subtle-Caramel
0x5acf45885b0513eeeb154870fcd683f3d30ddf5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$22.83
Total PnL
$-9.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
80 shares @ 12.5¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.83
$12.83
- YES
US national XRP reserve in 2025?
488 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on December 8?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 7?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on December 12?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$2.46Feb 24, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 19?$1.25Dec 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 19?$1.00Dec 19, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.98Dec 10, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.00Dec 10, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.15Dec 10, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Dec 10, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on December 8?$2.00Dec 8, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national XRP reserve in 2025?$10.00Dec 8, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on December 11?$1.00Dec 8, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on December 8?$1.00Dec 8, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national XRP reserve in 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on December 8?$1.00Dec 8, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.50 on December 12?$1.00Dec 8, 01:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".