0x5ad1e4081afdb41155eea2e030ecb5b68976a80e
0x5ad1e4081afdb41155eea2e030ecb5b68976a80e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$89.80
Total PnL
$-23.06
Realised
$-3.14
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
54 shares @ 73.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$53.76
$14.36
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
30 shares @ 66.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.02
$10.06
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$6.02
$1.02
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
22 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-13.19
- OVER
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
18 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
14 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
11 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?
6 shares @ 84.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?$5.04Jun 4, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3?$5.01Jun 3, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$5.00Mar 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$5.00Mar 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$4.88Mar 11, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$4.93Mar 11, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$4.93Mar 11, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$5.10Mar 11, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$4.99Mar 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$5.00Mar 11, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$4.99Mar 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5.00Mar 6, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5.00Mar 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$4.86Mar 6, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$4.99Mar 6, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$4.43Mar 6, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$5.00Mar 6, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$4.92Mar 6, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5.00Mar 6, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$4.83Mar 6, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.