Wooden-Means
0x5ae4f5d06cfd094c948341a2ec6b47cb15d0255d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$28.49
Total PnL
$-53.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.62
$-0.38
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.18
$-0.82
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 10?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?
164 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 26?
148 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 28?
139 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C or below on February 27?
54 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$10.14Jul 20, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$10.18Jul 20, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$10.27Jul 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$10.70May 18, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 16?$1.76Mar 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on March 16?$1.80Mar 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 16?$1.80Mar 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 16?$1.99Mar 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 16?$2.07Mar 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 17?$1.60Mar 17, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 16?$1.81Mar 16, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on March 16?$1.01Mar 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 16?$0.62Mar 16, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 16?$0.90Mar 16, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 16?$1.40Mar 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?$0.26Mar 16, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on March 16?$1.51Mar 16, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 16?$0.90Mar 16, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 16?$1.44Mar 16, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 15?$3.24Mar 16, 00:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.