Quarterly-Event
0x5ae787c6703df7b0a4d3da49dc6ead5176d01915
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$17.08
Total PnL
$-0.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$7.03
$0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.00
$2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
5 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$7.00May 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$3.00May 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.39May 14, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.01May 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.00May 14, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 5?$3.00May 14, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $540?$5.00May 14, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $345?$5.01May 14, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 4?$5.02May 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 5?$3.00Jan 4, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $540?$5.00Jan 4, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $345?$5.00Jan 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 4?$5.00Jan 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.98Feb 6, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$0.98Feb 6, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$0.99Feb 6, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.98Feb 6, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$4.99Feb 6, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$1.00Feb 6, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$5.00Feb 6, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 14:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.