Legitimate-Manifestation
0x5af817f78b8d052b16b31d28372c9262b8389e55
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$85.01
Total PnL
$-383.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
395 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$44.80
$-0.20
- YES
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$20.41
$0.41
- SPURS
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
3700 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-96.90
- YES
Will Tesla reach $578 in November?
638 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
300 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 8?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?
122 shares @ 82.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5$20.31May 20, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Knicks$82.61May 20, 03:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-6.5)$20.29May 19, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$57.53May 19, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.20May 19, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$119.38May 19, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$300.00May 4, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?$49.40Dec 10, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?$0.60Dec 10, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta dip to $550 in November?$11.11Dec 1, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?$32.40Nov 27, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?$10.97Nov 27, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$2.49Nov 26, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?$3.50Nov 26, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$2.16Nov 26, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$0.54Nov 26, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$0.54Nov 26, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$0.54Nov 26, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$0.54Nov 26, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $19.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".