White-Donation
0x5af8c75afb05f8e9956a95c18562d20e385ddb25
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
144
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.0K
Realised
$24.56
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?
3370 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-404.36
- YES
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?
1192 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-95.56
- YES
France leading at halftime?
1149 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-635.46
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?
1090 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-195.30
- OVER
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5
1000 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- YES
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
804 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-450.00
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?
800 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?
800 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-112.00
- YES
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?
750 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-112.46
- NO
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
700 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-384.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12.60Aug 1, 17:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.62Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Fluminense FC (-1.5) AND Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-26? AND Will América FC win on 2026-07-26? AND Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?$240.00Jul 26, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?$10.80Jul 26, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?$20.79Jul 26, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?$3.80Jul 26, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?$6.06Jul 26, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?$16.46Jul 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5$104.27Jul 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?$203.90Jul 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)$132.81Jul 26, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?$40.27Jul 26, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?$28.11Jul 26, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?$102.65Jul 26, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?$102.65Jul 26, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCruzeiro EC leading at halftime?$80.60Jul 26, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5) AND Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5$486.06Jul 26, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$46.34Jul 26, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMSK Slavia Praha vs. 1. FC Slovácko: SK Slavia Praha O/U 2.5$101.25Jul 26, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5)$39.63Jul 26, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $117.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.