Agonizing-Expectation
0x5afdc3662d84189688b789a00fe295a81c3b7e8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.2K
Realised
$-7.9K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
38585 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.8K
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
23836 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-529.92
- YES
Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?
4324 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
3898 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-158.20
- YES
Iranian coup attempt before July?
690 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
660 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US strike on Iran on June 24?
479 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2025$0.00
$-112.50
- YES
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?
247 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-49.97
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?
191 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?$182.42Nov 6, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?$200.00Nov 6, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?$10.00Jul 2, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$20.00Jul 2, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$137.34Jun 29, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$40.00Jun 29, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$30.00Jun 29, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$50.00Jun 29, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$100.00Jun 29, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$50.00Jun 28, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$131.37Jun 28, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$125.81Jun 28, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$60.00Jun 28, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$50.00Jun 28, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$50.00Jun 28, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$100.00Jun 28, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$100.00Jun 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$200.00Jun 28, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$1.1KJun 28, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$3.1KJun 28, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $733.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 14:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".