0x5b0128b0c266cf624254c60a1f7a2e20e66fa95c
0x5b0128b0c266cf624254c60a1f7a2e20e66fa95c
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$3.96
Total PnL
$-175.24
Realised
$-11.76
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.65
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 29?
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.29
$-1.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.02
$-0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 31?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?
96 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-23.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 20?
41 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 20?
39 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 6?
33 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 26?
29 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?
22 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 29?$2.49Jun 28, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 29?$1.34Jun 28, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 29?$1.46Jun 28, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?$2.46Jun 27, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?$1.96Jun 27, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 28?$0.45Jun 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?$1.45Jun 27, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 28?$2.12Jun 27, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 29?$0.85Jun 27, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?$1.49Jun 27, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 29?$2.09Jun 27, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?$0.62Jun 27, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27?$0.77Jun 27, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?$1.61Jun 27, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 27?$1.22Jun 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27?$2.11Jun 26, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?$1.85Jun 26, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?$2.66Jun 26, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$7.08Jun 26, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?$1.45Jun 26, 18:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.