Entire-Advertising
0x5b0a274c2b0310f60da3e2eb10eb4cff84d4c378
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-187.55
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?
14866 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-281.86
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
5500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.50
- YES
Will Santa Tell Me - Ariana Grande be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
4210 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-13.30
- YES
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
3727 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-22.33
- YES
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
2487 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-26.14
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1937 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-25.49
- YES
Will Jingle Bell Rock - Bobby Helms be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1529 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-7.31
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?
861 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-12.58
- YES
Will the Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC Championship?
804 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-22.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.00Mar 30, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$20.00Jan 5, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$0.09Jan 4, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$8.00Jan 4, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$20.00Jan 4, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$25.00Jan 4, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?$68.88Jan 4, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$0.18Jan 4, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$0.04Jan 4, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$0.04Jan 4, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$0.04Jan 4, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$0.10Jan 4, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$0.10Jan 4, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$0.08Jan 4, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.