Negative-Proceedings
0x5b1a0a8cbd4f95cc35f5d3f71cf627effbb88480
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$2.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?
884 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
793 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-260.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
651 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-330.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
641 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
584 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?
537 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-245.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
485 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-295.55
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?
333 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
309 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$212.02Jun 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$50.88Jun 15, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$151.53Jun 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$151.62Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$570.31Jun 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$295.14Jun 15, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$35.91Jun 14, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$254.57Jun 14, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$188.04Jun 14, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$10.29Jun 14, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$254.05Jun 14, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$121.55Jun 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$129.64Jun 14, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$91.00Jun 14, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$61.24Jun 13, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$273.32Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$135.94Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$125.42Jun 13, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $116.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.