0x5b1eeed4c434cfaf4f25716e1869135860bfe046
0x5b1eeed4c434cfaf4f25716e1869135860bfe046
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$21.04
Total PnL
$-8.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- OVER
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$6.66
$5.66
- YES
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.55
$4.55
- NO
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$3.73
$2.73
- YES
Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2026$2.14
$1.14
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 16.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.50
$-0.62
- YES
Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
15 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the World Cup?$0.69Jun 28, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?$0.01Jun 26, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?$0.99Jun 26, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?$0.12Jun 26, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 26, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEgypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$1.00Jun 26, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$1.04Jun 26, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half$1.00Jun 26, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$1.00Jun 26, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLaso Finance FDV above $1M one day after launch$1.00Jun 25, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuraçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5$0.10Jun 25, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuraçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5$0.90Jun 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?$1.00Jun 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$1.00Jun 25, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$1.00Jun 25, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia vs. Ghana: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5$0.85Jun 24, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia vs. Ghana: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5$0.15Jun 24, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 24, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Cunningham be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$0.00Jun 23, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 24?$0.20Jun 23, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $0.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.