Pointless-Cherry
0x5b242dc2ebe5eb233d019d17301fdd63618ff36a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$649.96
Realised
$126.74
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
484 shares @ 38.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$338.68
$154.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
593 shares @ 16.9¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$275.69
$175.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$172.45
$122.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
600 shares @ 7.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$165.00
$117.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
602 shares @ 7.8¢·now 26.8¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$160.99
$113.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
390 shares @ 20.8¢·now 22.7¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$88.34
$7.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
195 shares @ 3.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.00
$28.52
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
216 shares @ 26.4¢·now 14.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.68
$-25.33
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
32 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$24.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
437 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$24.04
$-19.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$25.30Jun 23, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$0.70Jun 23, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$54.88Jun 23, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$142.58Jun 23, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$15.44Jun 23, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$0.01Jun 23, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$106.63Jun 23, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$1.03Jun 23, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-06-23?$1.84Jun 23, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$95.31Jun 23, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$149.10Jun 23, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$9.80Jun 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$9.33Jun 23, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$1.00Jun 23, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$48.75Jun 23, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.01Jun 23, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$53.85Jun 23, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$3.86Jun 23, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.01Jun 23, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$7.96Jun 23, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $25.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.