Both-Afterthought
0x5b24d069f632ae8e6b60b8199c5444a0d3e8b968
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$75.87
Total PnL
$-42.83
Realised
$14.90
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
82 shares @ 0.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$75.87
$75.70
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 11?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- ELIAKIM COULIBALY
Kigali 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Corentin Denolly
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 10?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will BBL Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- MOBIS PHOEBUS
KCC Egis vs. Mobis Phoebus
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- MIAMI MARLINS
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DANIIL GLINKA
Cherbourg: Daniil Glinka vs Dan Added
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 10?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- SOUTH EAST MELBOURNE PHOENIX
Adelaide 36ers vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill no one dissent the March Fed decision?$0.19Mar 18, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no one dissent the March Fed decision?$1.00Mar 18, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$52.11Mar 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no one dissent the March Fed decision?$0.04Mar 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?$1.91Mar 13, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs los kogutos (+1.5)$1.00Mar 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 6?$0.95Mar 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 6?$0.05Mar 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?$1.00Mar 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$0.01Mar 11, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$0.07Mar 11, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$0.12Mar 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$0.13Mar 11, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$0.17Mar 11, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.02Mar 11, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.06Mar 11, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.05Mar 11, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.05Mar 11, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.17Mar 11, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 17:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.