Deafening-Frequency
0x5b2624c16716dbe8708868bb5957dd29a3ca158f
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-273.87
Realised
$-4.94
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
1174 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
1173 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?
1017 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?
570 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-08-22?
321 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Czechia vs. San Marino end in a draw?
128 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will San Marino win on 2025-11-13?
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?
102 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-11.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$1.02Jul 1, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. England end in a draw?$1.03Jun 27, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-27?$1.02Jun 27, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$2.05Jun 26, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$2.05Jun 26, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$6.77Jun 26, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$1.02Jun 26, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$0.58Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?$1.03Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$1.88Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$1.02Jun 25, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$1.02Jun 25, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$2.05Jun 25, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$20.23Jun 25, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-23?$1.03Jun 23, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?$5.12Jun 23, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$15.36Jun 23, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$2.05Jun 23, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Iraq end in a draw?$1.03Jun 22, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$3.08Jun 22, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.