Amused-Derby
0x5b2827f2b4a4ac90ef1f5590a570d918909c0f58
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$3.56
Total PnL
$-311.76
Realised
$5.73
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.56
$1.22
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
1030 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Clippers
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on October 29?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 8?
70 shares @ 83.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-58.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 1?
70 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on October 27?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will no leader be out in 2025?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 16?
55 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$2.39Jun 4, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?$1.15Jun 4, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4?$1.12Jun 4, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?$20.20Jun 4, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?$1.23Jun 4, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4?$1.16Jun 4, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?$22.71Jun 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?$23.43Jun 4, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?$23.43Jun 4, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?$24.41Jun 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 4?$24.42Jun 4, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 4?$25.58Jun 4, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?$1.22Jun 4, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?$9.37Jun 4, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?$14.72Jun 4, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?$25.38Jun 4, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?$25.64Jun 4, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?$24.91Jun 3, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?$24.92Jun 3, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?$1.13Jun 2, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".