Thankful-Introduction
0x5b2efc288f32a1d692bdd57fa549362482be034e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-214.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
5309 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-19.00
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)
4124 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-824.67
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
1132 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-441.50
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
882 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-250.50
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Suns
547 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
488 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.39
- MARINERS
Blue Jays vs. Mariners
461 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-318.00
- OREGON
Indiana vs. Oregon
103 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
81 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-47.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$257.31Jul 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)$40.19May 29, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)$59.94May 29, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)$744.33May 29, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics$1.8KMay 27, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics$985.30May 27, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics$986.26May 27, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics$500.53May 26, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)$1.53May 1, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)$40.73May 1, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)$101.83May 1, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)$101.83May 1, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)$101.83May 1, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)$101.83May 1, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals$747.27Apr 25, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals$450.18Apr 23, 23:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $212.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 01:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.