Honest-Croup
0x5b3a94d9ebb6d7ae29dc85ebd61a976406c7f3cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-77.66
Realised
$0.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Grok 4.20 released by March 31?
2619 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Grok 4.20 released by April 20?
1350 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$0.00Apr 26, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Apr 24, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$0.00Apr 24, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$0.00Apr 24, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$0.00Apr 24, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$0.00Mar 30, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$0.00Mar 30, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$0.30Mar 3, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$0.83Mar 2, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?$0.88Mar 2, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?$0.89Mar 2, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?$0.90Mar 2, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?$0.01Mar 2, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?$1.00Mar 2, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.