Understated-Government-Nose
0x5b3ad4d1e5a1fa91ae490e1752ebe3e8599b9096
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$80.18
Total PnL
$11.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 14?
20 shares @ 44.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$20.29
$11.29
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 15?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$8.50
$5.50
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 17?
26 shares @ 19.4¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$7.08
$2.08
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 15?
8 shares @ 36.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.67
$2.67
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 16?
15 shares @ 32.8¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 15?
21 shares @ 24.1¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 18?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$4.22
$1.22
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 16?
15 shares @ 27.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.20
$0.15
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.00
$2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 18?$1.90May 15, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 17?$1.80May 15, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 15?$5.19May 15, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 15?$3.10May 15, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 16?$5.17May 15, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 15?$1.12May 15, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 14?$10.00May 15, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.00May 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 14?$6.08May 14, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 14?$4.90May 14, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 15?$0.43May 14, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 14?$1.52May 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 14?$0.66May 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 14?$0.31May 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 18?$3.13May 14, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 15?$1.57May 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 15?$3.00May 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 17?$0.70May 14, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 16?$1.17May 14, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 16?$0.28May 14, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 04:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".