Ill-Fated-Insolence
0x5b46a4f17b4e3312b1a4d631ffcd5e886ab21263
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$833.09
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$21.18
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8083 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$157.62
$60.62
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5846 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$148.49
$-1.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
824 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$137.94
$-2.06
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7692 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$103.85
$3.85
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1126 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$94.06
$-3.94
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$82.50
$-17.50
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
95203 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$47.60
$-47.60
- YES
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1614 shares @ 36.7¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.76
$-549.50
- YES
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2283 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.26
$-429.74
- YES
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
356483 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-356.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.88Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90.96Jun 12, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.05Jun 12, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.99Jun 12, 03:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.68Jun 11, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$143.49Jun 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.96Jun 11, 11:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.46Jun 9, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.94Jun 9, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.92Jun 9, 07:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$30.00Jun 7, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$19.23Jun 7, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$15.53Jun 7, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $32.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.