Hearty-Newsprint
0x5b506171c8b58fa4d7d91da1d0a828ba260d7356
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.50
Total PnL
$-5.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$0.10
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
10 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?
10 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- DOWN
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 21?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- DOWN
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 28?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$0.25Jan 2, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$0.25Jan 1, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.01Dec 23, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.89Dec 23, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.25Dec 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$0.25Dec 19, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$0.25Dec 19, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.00Dec 10, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$0.25Dec 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.25Dec 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 28?$0.25Nov 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 28?$0.18Nov 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 28?$0.07Nov 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 28?$0.25Nov 28, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: November$0.20Nov 28, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??$1.40Nov 28, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??$0.70Nov 26, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$0.50Nov 25, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 24?$0.25Nov 24, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $0.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 11:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".