Grotesque-Awe
0x5b58690b76d2859af681e8e20721c6e26680701f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$15.97
Total PnL
$-36.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?
11 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$11.20
$1.20
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$4.76
$1.76
- NO
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
36 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
31 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday?
14 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2025$0.00
$-8.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? $8.97Jun 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$3.00Jun 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Friday?$10.00Jun 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq by Friday?$10.00Jun 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$20.00Jun 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$28.80Jun 13, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?$0.00May 12, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$0.00May 12, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?$5.00May 7, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$10.00May 7, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$20.00May 7, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$20.00May 7, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?$0.00Jan 22, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet on inauguration day? $5.75Jan 22, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?$31.21Jan 17, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $190 on January 17?$22.70Jan 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k before Trump inauguration?$18.52Jan 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?$5.55Jan 15, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?$5.05Jan 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet on inauguration day? $5.00Jan 13, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $8.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 23:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.