Hidden-Osmosis
0x5b667ae5bac05fa683d9dd3b032c4ddeadf7074a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$8.39
Total PnL
$-18.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.19
$0.19
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
12 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.72
- NO
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.72May 18, 10:58 UTC
- REWARD$1.28May 18, 10:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.35May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REWARD$0.24May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?$3.01May 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.00May 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$3.01May 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$2.98May 15, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.74May 15, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 28?$2.17May 15, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?$2.23May 15, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?$3.43May 15, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?$3.29Apr 27, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 28?$2.00Apr 27, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?$2.00Apr 27, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$3.00Apr 27, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.03Apr 27, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$5.26Apr 27, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$2.87Mar 18, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.00Mar 18, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.