Normal-Payoff
0x5b6faa5b584a0ba541de4e5fa06cc6906be78afb
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.5K
Realised
$-52.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
26034 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.9K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
6319 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
3000 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-630.00
- YES
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?
2000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
750 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
400 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-264.00
- NO
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-94.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$840.00Jan 9, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$559.27Dec 18, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$3.5KDec 18, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3100 in July?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the JA21 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 14, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $3.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.