Impossible-Clank
0x5b756a949233fedd238c12fa869fff1ce7180c6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$210.95
Total PnL
$-9.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
50 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$50.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
35 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$34.63
$1.63
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?
32 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$32.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win Maryland by the largest margin?
32 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$32.03
$0.03
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
32 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$31.57
$0.57
- NO
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
30 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$30.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
88 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$30.00Nov 11, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$50.00Nov 11, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$31.00Nov 10, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?$32.00Nov 10, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Maryland by the largest margin?$32.00Nov 10, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$2.00Nov 10, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$3.00Nov 10, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$33.00Nov 10, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$69.06Nov 10, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$86.99Nov 10, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$42.12Nov 10, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$84.99Nov 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$42.00Jun 27, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$85.00Jun 27, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$69.00Jun 27, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$87.00Jun 27, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$45.61Jun 27, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?$27.71Jun 27, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyril Ramaphosa be the next President of South Africa?$30.34Jun 27, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLLabour wins the most seats in next UK election? $45.46Jun 27, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $44.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.