French-Lover
0x5b83aab4d49ad793cf30348c54e7841fcb50b722
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$49.00
Total PnL
$3.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?
12 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$12.00
$3.72
- PULYAEV
UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Pulyaev
11 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$11.00
$4.40
- UCAM ESPORTS CLUB
League of Legends: Movistar KOI Fénix vs. UCAM Esports Club
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$9.00
$4.86
- NO
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-24?
8 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$8.00
$4.16
- MERCURY
Mercury vs Valkyries
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$6.00
$3.12
- GOFF
Goff vs. Ko
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$3.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?
12 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.84
- NO
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.06
- DIAMONDBACKS
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks
7 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?$8.38May 22, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Sox vs. Diamondbacks$3.57Sep 7, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-24?$3.84Aug 24, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeague of Legends: Movistar KOI Fénix vs. UCAM Esports Club$4.14Aug 19, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Streaming" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$4.84Aug 11, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vienna host Eurovision 2026?$3.06Aug 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Pulyaev$6.60Aug 1, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMercury vs Valkyries$2.88Jul 14, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?$4.80Jul 5, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gaitok die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?$0.00Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.08-1.12ºC in April 2025?$1.20Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in April?$1.20Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in April?$1.20Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$1.30Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in April?$1.30Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in April?$1.50Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jaguars make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$2.10Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?$2.31Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$3.01Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in May?$3.21Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.