Huge-Sunrise
0x5b8fab23ff2e97a8a7bd368bbafa2f4d251c35fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2025?
5942 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Gianluigi Donnarumma win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
871 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
533 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?
506 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.94
- UP
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
125 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-56.26
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Thunder
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$57.50May 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?$57.13May 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?$107.06May 19, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$106.67May 19, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?$198.52May 19, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?$20.75May 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$160.00May 18, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$236.64May 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$206.03May 18, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS kicks trans members out of military before July? $108.11May 18, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Thunder$30.00Jun 22, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$0.00Jun 22, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during West Point Commencement on May 24?$0.00Jun 22, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$0.00Jun 22, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gianluigi Donnarumma win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$20.00May 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during West Point Commencement on May 24?$50.00May 24, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?$0.00May 19, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?$0.00May 18, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$0.00May 18, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China trade deal before June?$0.00May 18, 19:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $139.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 18:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.