Silly-Lychee
0x5b946d0fb0ef0790fa4f935fa5682d05761a7107
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$43.33
Total PnL
$-23.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$33.90
$13.90
- YES
India military action against Pakistan before June?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$8.33
$3.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
1 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$5.00Mar 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$20.00Mar 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?$5.00Apr 30, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia military strike on Pakistan by Friday?$5.00Apr 30, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$5.00Apr 30, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100k in April?$1.00Apr 29, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $6.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 18:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".