Which-Ruffle
0x5b94e8ef4c28b34a6d17515f91ce27a0bc338f9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$34.52
Total PnL
$-475.43
Realised
$13.43
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 9.0¢·now 14.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.09
$9.09
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
39 shares @ 25.4¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.82
$-2.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$2.01
$1.02
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
1364 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-16.17
- TIMBERWOLVES
Magic vs. Timberwolves
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SOUTH AFRICA
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Scream 7" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
411 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?
305 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
234 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.