Masculine-Sentence
0x5b9c98bc1aa33323e137bfcd7b38b754071d6dcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$15.08
Total PnL
$-19.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 5.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.05
$0.55
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48 shares @ 10.5¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.98
$0.98
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
12 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.50Jun 20, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.11Jun 20, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$11.24Jun 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$2.04Jun 20, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$10.03Jun 19, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.00Jun 18, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$1.03Jun 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-17?$1.03Jun 17, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?$1.02Jun 17, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$5.26Jun 17, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$1.03Jun 16, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$1.02Jun 16, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$2.04Jun 16, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-4.5)$1.25Jun 15, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-4.5)$1.01Jun 15, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$1.03Jun 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 14, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-3.5) AND Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)$5.08Jun 14, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.06May 30, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.