Mushy-Plowman
0x5ba5aa12629d76f8e47ffc7953bf76e1a6ffa2d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$38.53
Total PnL
$10.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 17?$27.74Mar 16, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 20?$0.00Feb 22, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10?$36.78Feb 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 20?$23.09Feb 19, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Knicks$39.48Feb 10, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10?$24.64Feb 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Knicks$24.87Feb 1, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference?$31.53Jan 31, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference?$24.91Jan 26, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$25.63Jan 25, 17:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 25, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$265.98Jan 24, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.1KJan 24, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.1KJan 24, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$266.24Jan 23, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.57Jan 18, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$0.00Jan 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$5.62Dec 28, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 23?$0.00Dec 24, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 23?$1.18Dec 22, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $170.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.