That-Renaissance
0x5ba7592ab3039cb8b94910dec9e3298afd1c0b78
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 20?
553 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 15?
538 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 25?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
450 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 3?
426 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 27?
406 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 5?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on January 27?
202 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$109.22Jun 12, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$109.01Jun 11, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$3.98Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$105.11Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$105.01Jun 4, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$3.80Jun 4, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.39May 26, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$10.01May 26, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$96.10May 26, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$1.00May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$10.00May 26, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 27?$1.07May 26, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.01May 26, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$96.00May 26, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$109.11May 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$1.00May 25, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$1.00May 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$1.00May 24, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$109.01May 22, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$108.11May 16, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $64.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.