Glamorous-Shirt
0x5ba89967f5d20c34ea79abe4c935aae9e4f02bdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$576.62
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$24.45
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
150 shares @ 63.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.74
$-4.75
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
4700 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.60
$-35.25
- NO
Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in July?
53 shares @ 90.6¢·now 95.1¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$50.60
$2.39
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
50 shares @ 72.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$36.25
$0.25
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
80 shares @ 42.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.38
$0.80
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?
30 shares @ 91.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$29.34
$1.80
- NO
Will PPI YoY be 5.4% in July?
30 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$28.44
$0.69
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?
30 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$28.09
$0.49
- NO
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in July?
30 shares @ 84.3¢·now 86.3¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$25.89
$0.60
- YES
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$20.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.45Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 3.1% or more in July?$16.93Jul 21, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?$0.40Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Michel Basquiat be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?$0.40Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Michel Basquiat be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?$0.10Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?$0.10Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Michel Basquiat be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?$0.80Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?$0.80Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$3.30Jul 21, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?$0.20Jul 21, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Michel Basquiat be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?$0.01Jul 21, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$0.10Jul 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$0.02Jul 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$0.02Jul 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$0.10Jul 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$0.10Jul 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$0.02Jul 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$0.10Jul 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$0.02Jul 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be 5.5% in July?$48.20Jul 21, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.